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Forexlive European FX news wrap: Markets await new info on trade negotiations
Forex news from the European morning session on Apr 15, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe

OPEC lowers its demand forecast only slightly – Commerzbank
OPEC revised its forecast for global oil demand slightly downwards in its monthly report published yesterday due to the expected impact of US tariffs. It now expects an increase of 1.3 million barrels per day for both this year and next.
Oil
OPEC
Energy
Banks

China's Premiur Li: Currently, external situations have drastically changed
Chinese State Media reporting comments from China's Premier Li
market overview

China imported significantly more crude oil in March – Commerzbank
China's crude oil imports rose to 12.1 million barrels per day in March, according to data from the customs authority, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
Oil
Energy
Commodities
Banks

Brent forward curve flattened significantly over the first 12 months – Commerzbank
In the wake of the sharp fall in oil prices, the time spreads, i.e. the price differentials along the forward curves, also narrowed significantly last week, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
Oil
Energy
Brent
Banks

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Revisits monthly high around 0.6390
The AUD/USD pair extends its winnings streak for the fifth trading day on Tuesday and revisits the monthly high of 0.6380.
AUDUSD
China
TradeWar
UnitedStates
DollarIndex

GBP/USD rebounds sharply, eyes channel top – Société Générale
GBP/USD has bounced strongly from the 50-day moving average, clearing a key pivot and approaching the top of its multi-month channel.
Technical Analysis
Banks
GBPUSD

CySEC Reports €10.1 Billion in AUM as Cyprus-Based Funds Hold 75% Share in Q4 2024
CySEC has published its latest report on the Collective Investments sector, covering the fourth quarter of 2024.
cysec
retail
fintech

Gold continues to enjoy a tailwind – Commerzbank
The exemption of some electronics products from the reciprocal US tariffs has provided some relief on the stock market, although expectations were quickly dampened again by the threat that the products would soon be subject to sectoral tariffs, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Thu Lan Nguyen notes.
Banks
Gold
XAUUSD
Metals
Commodities

How High Can Bitcoin Go? This Expert Predicts BTC Price Jump to $137,000
Discover why Bitcoin price could soar to $137,000 by Q3 2025, driven by U.S. Treasury liquidity injections and bullish technicals. Explore expert insights, market drivers, and BTC price predictions for 2025.
bitcoin
Bitcoin news
BTC
crypto
prediction

USD/CNH: Unlikely to break above 7.3350 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) could edge higher vs Chinese Yuan (CNH), but any advance is unlikely to break above 7.3350. In the longer run, sharp but short-lived price action has resulted in a mixed outlook; USD is likely to trade between 7.2430 and 7.3700 for now.
Technical Analysis
USDCNH
Banks

Exness Wins Best Broker in LATAM at iFX EXPO LATAM 2025
The accolade reflects Exness’ continued growth and reputation across Latin America.

HUF: S&P’s downgrades exerts additional pressure – Commerzbank
Last week after business hours on Friday, Standard & Poor’s issued a downgrade of outlook on Hungary’s sovereign debt from stable to negative. S&P already rates the issuer at 'BBB-/A-3', the lowest within investment grade, which highlights the significance of a negative outlook from here.
Hungary
Banks
EURHUF
SP500

What are the interest rates expectations for G8FX?
Not much change since yesterday as markets consolidate awaiting new information on the tariffs front
market overview

USD/JPY: Likely to trade in a 142.70/144.55 range – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a 142.70/144.55 range vs Japanese Yen (JPY). In the longer run, USD could continue to decline, but given the deeply oversold conditions, it remains to be seen if 139.55 is within reach, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY
Banks

Norges Bank likely to delay cuts until June – Commerzbank
Although the Norwegian inflation figures for March look a little better again after the significant upward surprise at the beginning of the year, Norges Bank is still likely to wait until June before lowering the key rate, Commerzbank's FX analyst Antje Praefcke notes.
EURNOK
Norway
Banks
USDNOK

GBP/JPY trades higher to near 189.00 on upbeat UK employment data
The GBP/JPY pair rises to near 189.00 in Tuesday’s European session. The pair moves higher as the Pound Sterling (GBP) strengthens after the release of the upbeat United Kingdom (UK) employment data for three months ending February.
GBPJPY
Employment
UnitedStates
Japan
Inflation

China’s Copper imports drop – ING
China’s preliminary trade data for metals, released yesterday, showed imports of unwrought Copper fell 1.4% YoY to 467kt in March, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
Metals
China
Copper
Commodities
Banks

AUD/USD: Chance to potentially test the key resistance at 0.6390 – UOB Group
Australian Dollar (AUD) is expected to trade in a range vs US Dollar (USD), likely between 0.6270 and 0.6350. In the longer run, AUD is likely to trade with an upward bias, potentially testing the key resistance at 0.6390, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
Banks
AUDUSD

Watch out for the first trade deals to lead the market expectations
The markets move on future expectations and the first trade deals could shape those expectations
market overview

Amazon Web Services Outage Disrupts Binance, KuCoin Withdrawals: Trading Disruptions Continue
Cryptocurrency exchanges Binance and KuCoin temporarily halted withdrawals Monday following a reported disruption at AWS.

No concessions from Trump on China – Commerzbank
Where Trump is not willing to make concessions or give in, however, is on China. Here, the motto 'always more than you' seems to apply. The tariff spiral is in full swing, there are only a few exceptions, Commerzbank's FX analyst Antje Praefcke notes.
China
TradeWar
UnitedStates
Banks

Silver price today: Silver broadly unchanged, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) broadly unchanged on Tuesday, according to FXStreet data.
Silver
Commodities
Metals

CAD: CPI today ahead of tomorrow's BoC – ING
The CPI print in Canada this afternoon can swing expectations for tomorrow’s Bank of Canada meeting, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
Technical Analysis
Canada
BOC
USDCAD
Banks

Trump’s trade tactics erode global trust – Commerzbank
Obviously, there is a learning curve for the US president when he continues to backpedal on tariffs. But the damage is done, trust is destroyed. Trump may call all these actions “dealmaking”, but in my view he underestimates two things, Commerzbank's FX analyst Antje Praefcke notes.
TradeWar
UnitedStates
Politics
Banks
DollarIndex

EUR/USD wobbles as focus shifts to ECB policy meeting
EUR/USD demonstrates a sideways trend near 1.1350 during late European trading hours on Tuesday after a sharp run-up in the last few trading days.
ECB
EURUSD
Fed
UnitedStates
SEO

Jeton Ranks #374 on the Financial Times List of Europe’s 1,000 Fastest-Growing Companies
Jeton’s inclusion follows a year of continued growth, including a strategic rebranding
payments

IEA cuts the 2025 world oil demand growth forecast to 730k b/d from 1.03 m b/d
In its monthly oil market report published on Tuesday, the International Energy Agency (IEA) cut the 2025 world oil demand growth forecast to 730k barrels per day (b/d) from 1.03 million b/d.
Oil
TradeWar
WTI
Commodities

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Support appears at 1.3850 with potential corrective rebounds
The USD/CAD pair extends its decline for the fifth consecutive session, hovering around 1.3860 during European trading on Tuesday. Daily chart technical analysis highlights a dominant bearish trend, with the pair trending lower within a descending channel formation.
Technical Analysis
USDCAD
Majors

Eurozone Industrial Production rises 1.1% MoM in February vs. 0.2% expected
Eurozone’s industrial sector activity rose more than expected in February, the latest data published by Eurostat showed on Tuesday.
EURUSD
Eurozone
EconomicIndicator
IndustrialProduction

German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index slides to -14 in April vs. +9.3 expected
The headline German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index declined sharply to -14 in April from 51.6 in March, missing the market estimate of 9.3 by a wide margin.
Germany
EconomicIndicator
Sentiment
EURUSD

IG Drops Guaranteed Stop Loss Fees as Trump Tariffs Rock Markets
Publicly listed retail trading company IG (LSE: IGG ) has temporarily suspended fees for guaranteed stop losses on spread betting accounts through the end of April, as market turbulence triggered b...
IG Group
stop loss
Trump Tariffs

Eurozone February industrial production +1.1% vs +0.3% m/m expected
Latest data released by Eurostat - 15 April 2025
EUR

Germany April ZEW survey current conditions -81.2 vs -86.8 expected
Latest data released by ZEW - 15 April 2025
EUR

GBP/USD turns positive towards 1.3290 – UOB Group
Outlook for Pound Sterling (GBP) has shifted to positive vs US Dollar (USD); the technical level to watch is 1.3290, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
Banks
GBPUSD

DXY: Tentative stabilisation? – OCBC
US Dollar ) sell-off seen over the past few sessions showed tentative signs of stabilisation. DXY was last at 99.66 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Technical Analysis
Banks
DollarIndex

OPEC lowers demand estimates – ING
Oil prices rose marginally higher yesterday despite OPEC trimming demand estimates. ICE Brent settled just below US$65/bbl. The market is digesting fast-moving policy developments on the tariff front, while balancing them with nuclear talks between the US and Iran.
Oil
OPEC
Energy
Commodities
Banks

Federal Reserve Governor Waller's strategy for dealing with tariffs
Yesterday's speech from Fed's Governor Christopher Waller summarised perfectly the current outlook while also providing the likely reaction under two possible scenarios
USD

WhiteBIT Unveiled New Institutional Services at Liquidity 2025
WhiteBIT participated as a Golden Partner at Liquidity 2025.

EUR/USD: Likely to trade in a range between 1.1280 and 1.1400 – UOB Group
Euro (EUR) is likely to trade in a range between 1.1280 and 1.1400 vs US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, further EUR strength is not ruled out, but it may first range-trade for a couple of days, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks