XRP price (XRP) as of today (Thursday), April 17, 2025, is moving below $2.10, continuing its decline from a $3.4 peak earlier this year. The crypto community is now abuzz with a prediction from trader Ak47 that XRP could fall to $1.4, a level last seen in October 2024.

In this guide, we’ll break down Ak47’s prediction, explore the forces impacting XRP in 2025, and provide actionable insights for retail investors. Combining technical analysis, market trends, and expert perspectives, we’ll help you understand XRP’s trajectory and plan your next move.

Why Will XRP Crash? Ak47’s $1.4 XRP Prediction

Ak47’s forecast is grounded in technical analysis, as seen in their chart shared on X. The trader identifies a key order block (OB) at $1.4, a zone of historical liquidity where large players might step in to buy, potentially halting the decline.

“$XRP is likely to hit the OB around $1.4 and then from there I’ll go long ,” Ak47 posted on April 8, 2025, alongside a chart highlighting an order block at $1.4. This bearish call raises critical questions: How low can XRP go? What’s driving this potential drop? And how can retail investors navigate the volatility?

$XRP is likely to hit the OB around $1.4 and then from there I’ll go long 🤝 pic.twitter.com/R268U38i5n

— Ak47♛ (@HolaItsAk47) April 8, 2025

His analysis points to several factors:

• Technical Breakdown: Ak47’s chart shows XRP breaking below a “CHOCH” (Change of Character) on the daily timeframe, signaling a bearish shift. The price has already fallen from $2.5 to $1.9, with $1.4 as the next significant support.
• Market Sentiment: Ak47’s decision to “go long” at $1.4 suggests confidence in a rebound, but the drop to that level reflects broader market weakness. “This is a high-probability setup for a swing low,” they implied through their chart annotations.
• Historical Patterns: XRP’s price action mirrors past corrections. In 2022, XRP dropped 60% from its highs during a market-wide selloff, and a similar move from $2.5 to $1.4 would be a 44% decline—steep but not unprecedented.

XRP Price Is Going Up Today

On Thursday, April 17, 2025, XRP is up 0.7% and testing the $2.09 level. According to CoinMarketCap data, the 24-hour gain stands at 1.51%, while the token’s total market capitalization has risen to $122 billion, with daily trading volume at $3.08 billion.

The price is currently trading just above the key psychological support at $2.00. However, according to an analyst on X, XRP may soon drop well below that level.

You may also like: How Low Can Bitcoin Go? This Expert Predicts BTC Price Drop to $10,000

Why Is XRP Going Down in 2025? Economic Pressures and Market Dynamics

XRP’s struggles in 2025 stem from a mix of macroeconomic challenges and crypto-specific headwinds. Here’s a closer look at the drivers, with insights for retail investors.

“The movement correlates with the ongoing tariff turmoil in particular with China/US macro relations and risk assets, not isolated to digital assets,” said Paul Howard, Senior Director at Wincent.

“On positives, the Senate Banking Chair Tim Scott said crypto legislation will pass by August, and NY State introduced a bill to accept cryptocurrencies as a form of payment. Take the macro book out the picture and we're continuing to see sideways movement in digital assets this week,” he added.

Global Risk-Off Sentiment

Global markets are in a risk-off mode, with equities like the S&P 500 down 6% from their 2025 highs. Altcoins like XRP, often correlated with Bitcoin and equity trends, are feeling the pressure.

Regulatory Uncertainty

Despite Ripple’s legal wins against the SEC in 2023, regulatory uncertainty persists. New U.S. policies under President Trump, including potential crypto regulations, are creating hesitation.

Liquidity Squeeze

The Federal Reserve’s inability to ease monetary policy in 2025—due to lingering inflation—limits market liquidity. Unlike 2020, when stimulus fueled crypto rallies, XRP lacks a similar catalyst. Retail investors expecting a quick rebound may need to adjust expectations.

Crypto Market Saturation

The altcoin market is overcrowded, with thousands of tokens competing for attention. XRP’s market cap ranking has slipped as newer projects gain traction.

Flight to Safe Havens

Gold’s 16% surge in 2025 reflects a shift to traditional safe havens. Investors who viewed XRP as a hedge against inflation are reconsidering, adding downward pressure. Retail investors might pivot to assets like gold, exacerbating XRP’s decline.

How Low Can XRP Go? Historical Context and Technical Analysis

Ak47’s $1.4 prediction aligns with XRP’s historical volatility. XRP has seen sharp corrections before:

• 2018: A 90% drop from $3.84 to $0.30.
• 2022: A 60% decline from $1.96 to $0.32 post-FTX collapse.

A 44% drop from $2.5 to $1.4 fits this pattern, though it’s milder than past crashes.

What does the technical analysis say? Based on my review of the XRP/USDT chart, the token continues to hover above the psychological $2.00 support. Although this level was briefly breached earlier in April, the price managed to recover and move back above it. This zone may prove critical in determining whether Ak47's projection materializes. As long as XRP stays above this threshold, it suggests that the bulls haven't made their final move.

XRP also remains within a downward-sloping regression channel, which could limit stronger price rallies in the coming weeks.

In one of my earlier articles, I identified the key support and resistance levels currently shaping the XRP chart.

• Support: $1.77 – Reflects the February and April 2025 lows, serving as a crucial base in recent price activity.
• Support: $2.00 – A psychological barrier tested in December 2024 and active again during February–March 2025.
• Resistance: $2.52 – Marks the upper limit of a bearish regression channel and acts as a short-term upside target.
• Resistance: $2.59 – Aligns with local highs from mid-March 2025, positioned near the top of the channel.
• Resistance: $2.87–$2.99 – A key zone defined by peak levels reached in December 2024 and March 2025.
• Resistance: $3.40 – Represents the 2025 high to date, acting as the primary ceiling for bullish momentum.

Why XRP Might Hold Up?

Not everyone is bearish on XRP. Optimistic analysts see a potential rebound in 2025, driven by Ripple’s growing adoption in cross-border payments, institutional interest, and a favorable macro environment later in the year. Below is a list of bullish XRP price predictions for 2025, contrasting Ak47’s view:

• Standard Chartered projects XRP to reach $5.50 in 2025, followed by $8.00 in 2026, $10.40 in 2027, and $12.50 by 2028. Their outlook is driven by expectations of ETF inflows, clearer regulatory frameworks, and rising demand for XRP in cross-border payments.
• CoinPedia offers a similar trajectory, forecasting $5.81 in 2025 and $8.60 in 2026. Their optimism is based on RippleNet's increasing adoption, particularly by banks across Asia and Latin America, which are turning to XRP to improve liquidity and settlement efficiency.
• Changelly takes a more cautious view, predicting $2.05 for 2025 and a longer-term target of $7.10 in 2028. Their conservative estimate reflects ongoing macro uncertainty, market volatility, and slower institutional engagement.
• Egrag Crypto issues the most aggressive forecast, calling for XRP to hit $17.00 in 2025. This is rooted in technical analysis, particularly a projected breakout above the $3.40 resistance, which Egrag sees as a catalyst for explosive upside.

These forecasts rely on Ripple’s fundamentals, such as its role in global finance and potential regulatory tailwinds. While Ak47 sees a dip, bulls argue XRP’s utility and adoption could drive a recovery.

XRP News, FAQ

How low is XRP expected to go?

Trader Ak47 predicts XRP could drop to $1.4, a 33% decline from its current $2.10 price, aligning with a key order block support level last seen in October 2024. This forecast is based on technical analysis showing a bearish shift, with historical corrections supporting a potential 44% drop from $2.5, though $1.4 is considered a plausible floor where buyers may step in.

Could XRP reach $20?

Yes, however, the most bullish 2025 prediction from Egrag Crypto forecasts XRP reaching $17.00, driven by a technical breakout above $3.40. A $20 price would require a 952% increase from $2.10, which, though not impossible given XRP’s historical volatility (e.g., its 2017–2018 rally), is beyond current projections and would likely need significant catalysts like widespread adoption or a major market bull run.

Will XRP hit $5?

Yes, some analysts are optimistic about XRP reaching $5 in 2025. Standard Chartered predicts $5.50, and CoinPedia forecasts $5.81, citing Ripple’s growing role in cross-border payments, ETF inflows, and regulatory clarity. These projections contrast with Ak47’s bearish $1.4 call, suggesting a potential recovery if macroeconomic conditions improve and Ripple’s fundamentals strengthen.

Will XRP hit $1000?

Even the most bullish prediction (Egrag Crypto’s $17.00) is far below this level. A $1000 price would imply a 47,519% increase from $2.10, requiring unprecedented market dynamics, adoption, and supply changes (XRP’s circulating supply is ~56 billion). Such a target is highly speculative and not grounded in the article’s forecasts