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Forex Live
Put on the Sherlock Holmes hat: We have enough evidence to deduce tariffs coming today
There are some hints, let's stitch it all together
USD
Stocks
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Forex Live
EIA weekly crude oil inventories +6165K vs -2116K expected
Weekly US petroleum inventory data
Oil
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Fxstreet
USD/CAD edges higher to near 1.4330, Trump’s tariff announcement in focus
The USD/CAD pair ticks higher to near 1.4330 in Wednesday’s North American session.
USDCAD
UnitedStates
TradeWar
Canada
DollarIndex
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Forex Live
US February factory orders +0.6% vs +0.5% expected
US factory orders for February and revisions to durable goods orders
USD
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Fxstreet
ECB's Holzmann: Rates are at neutral level, no reason to become accommodative
European Central Bank policymaker Robert Holzmann, who dissented to the ECB's decision to cut key rates by 25 basis points after the March meeting, argued on Wednesday that they don't need to become more accommodative, per Reuters.
ECB
CentralBanks
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Forex Live
Fear is in the air
It's a big day for markets but uncertainty likely won't clear
Stocks
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Fxstreet
GBP off early session low – Scotiabank
Pound Sterling (GBP) is also quiet and extending is recent consolidation around 1.29 ahead of Wednesday’s US tariff announcement, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
GBPUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
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Fxstreet
EUR extends tight consolidation around 1.08 – Scotiabank
Euro (EUR) is extending its tight consolidation around 1.08 ahead of Wednesday’s US tariff announcement, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
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Fxstreet
CAD is trading steady to slightly lower – Scotiabank
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed—and a relative, if minor, underperformer versus many of its peers, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
USDCAD
Canada
BOC
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Forex Live
Tesla first quarter deliveries 337K vs 380K consensus
Tesla Q1 delivery data from the company
Stocks
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Fxstreet
USD edges lower ahead of tariff news – Scotiabank
Welcome to Liberation Day. Tariffs are front and center for markets ahead of this afternoon’s announcement from the White House, due around 4pm from the Rose Garden, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
DollarIndex
Technical Analysis
Banks
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Forex Live
Tesla will release quarterly delivery numbers at the top of the hour
How much will Tesla deliveries slow?
Politics
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Forex Live
ADP March US employment +155K vs +115K expected
Results of the private payrolls survey for March 2025
USD
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Fxstreet
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD jumps to near $34 as Trump’s tariff plan improves safe-haven demand
Silver price (XAG/USD) advances to near $34.00 during European trading hours on Wednesday.
Silver
XAGUSD
Fed
TradeWar
SupportResistance
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Forex Live
ForexLive European FX news wrap: Markets on edge awaiting Trump tariffs
Forex news from the European morning session on Apr 2, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe
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Fxstreet
US Dollar stabilizes at104.00 in the DXY just hours before Trump's announcement
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, starts to turn red and dips below 104.00 at the time of writing on Wednesday, while equities sell off and bond yields drop. The Greenback
DollarIndex
Macroeconomics
UnitedStates
SEO
TradeWar
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Forex Live
US MBA mortgage applications w.e. 28 March -1.6% vs -2.0% prior
Latest data from the Mortgage Bankers Association for the week ending 28 March 2025
USD
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Fxstreet
USD/CNH: Major resistance at 7.2980 is unlikely to come into view – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) could rise to 7.2880 before levelling off; the major resistance at 7.2980 is unlikely to come into view.
Technical Analysis
USDCNH
Banks
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Fxstreet
S&P 500: Next downward objectives are at 5400/5390pts and 5300pts – Societe Generale
S&P 500 has so far defended the low of last down leg near 5500pts, which is also an ascending trend line connecting troughs of April 2024/August 2024, Societe Generale's FX analysts report.
Technical Analysis
Banks
SP500
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Fxstreet
USD/JPY: Likely to trade in a range between 149.05 and 150.20 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 149.05 and 150.20 vs Japanese Yen (JPY). In the longer run, USD appears to have moved into a 148.40/151.00 consolidation range, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY
Banks
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Forex Live
EURUSD slides as fears about "powerful" tariffs grow
The French Government Spokeswoman Primas is expecting "powerful" tariffs in the range of 20-25%
EUR
USD
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Fxstreet
USD/CNH: Inability to hold 7.22 can lead to a deeper pullback – Societe Generale
USD/CNH recently tested the 200-DMA at 7.22 resulting in a brief rebound, Societe Generale's FX analysts report.
Technical Analysis
USDCNH
Banks
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Fxstreet
ECB's Schnabel: Trade fragmentation is structurally harmful for economic growth and inflation
European Central Bank (ECB) board member Isabel Schnabel said on Wednesday that trade fragmentation is structurally harmful for economic growth and inflation, per Reuters.
ECB
TradeWar
CentralBanks
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Fxstreet
NZD/USD: Above 0.5725, weakness in NZD has stabilised – UOB Group
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) could continue to rebound but any advance is likely part of a 0.5670/0.5725 range. In the longer run, if NZD breaks above 0.5725, it would mean that the weakness has stabilised, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
Banks
NZDUSD
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Fxstreet
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Rallies to near 0.5750
The NZD/USD pair advances to near 0.5745 during European trading hours on Wednesday.
NZDUSD
China
UnitedStates
TradeWar
SupportResistance
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Forex Live
China restricts companies from investing in the US as tensions rise - BBG
Bloomberg with the report saying that several branches of China’s top economic planning agency have been instructed in recent weeks to hold off on registration and approval for firms that are looking to invest in the US
market overview
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Fxstreet
Estimating the impact of US-related uncertainty – Standard Chartered
Despite ‘Liberation Day’ announcements, we expect uncertainty to remain high over the coming months. Heightened trade policy uncertainty could potentially lower global GDP by c.1.0-1.5%. Most of this drop would reflect a decline in US output and that of other major economies.
TradeWar
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Forex Live
It's the known unknowns that is gripping markets with uncertainty
There are still so many question marks ahead of Trump's tariffs announcement later and there still will be after
market overview
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Forex Live
The first quarter depicted in a single chart
The first quarter of 2025 has been defined by great uncertainty which weighed on markets, and consumer and business sentiment
market overview
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Fxstreet
Norges Bank to stand pat for the time being – Commerzbank
As we expected, Norges Bank left the policy rate unchanged last week. After all, the interest rate path from December did not necessarily imply an interest rate cut in March.
EURNOK
CentralBanks
Norway
Banks
USDNOK
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Fxstreet
EUR/USD rises as US Dollar drops ahead of Trump’s tariff announcement
EUR/USD rises to near 1.0820 during North American trading hours on Wednesday.
EURUSD
ECB
Fed
TradeWar
SEO
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Fxstreet
AUD/USD: Increase in momentum indicates AUD can continue to decline – UOB Group
Australian Dollar (AUD) is likely to trade in a 0.6250/0.6300 range vs US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, increase in momentum indicates AUD could continue to decline, but it is too early to determine if it can reach 0.6185, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
Banks
AUDUSD
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Fxstreet
GBP: Testing the relative safe-haven status – ING
The UK’s goods exports to the US are worth just below 2% of GDP compared to 3% for the eurozone. It is no massive difference, but the EU has been much more in the focus of Trump’s confrontational foreign approach, ING’s FX analysts Francesco Pesole notes.
Technical Analysis
EURGBP
Banks
GBPUSD
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Fxstreet
USD/JPY: Bias to sell rallies – OCBC
USD/JPY remains caught in a 2-way trade between safe haven demand and JPY being directly hit by reciprocal tariffs. Pair was last at 149.60, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY
Banks
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Fxstreet
USD: Tariff announcement at 10PM CET – ING
The market reaction to today’s 'liberation day' will depend on the size of tariffs, geographical/sectorial distribution, and openness to negotiation. The announcement is due at 4PM ET/10PM CET, ING’s FX analysts Francesco Pesole notes.
Technical Analysis
TradeWar
Banks
DollarIndex
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Fxstreet
Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Wednesday, according to FXStreet data.
Silver
Commodities
Metals
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Fxstreet
ECB’s Rehn: Trade protectionism is a key risk to economic outlook
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Olli Rehn said on Wednesday, “trade protectionism is a key risk to economic outlook.”
ECB
EURUSD
CentralBanks
InterestRate
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Fxstreet
Lagarde speech: Tariffs aren't good for the global economy
European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde warned on Wednesday, “tariffs aren't good for the global economy.”
ECB
EURUSD
CentralBanks
InterestRate
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Fxstreet
DXY: 2-way trades into event risk – OCBC
US Dollar (USD) held steady as markets await reciprocal tariff announcement on 2 Apr (4pm ET/4am SGT Thurs morning). There are reports to suggest that Trump’s team is still in the midst of finalising tariffs, with options ranging from reciprocal to tiered to universal tariffs.
Technical Analysis
Banks
DollarIndex
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Fxstreet
Gold price orbits around $3,120 awaiting Trump's reciprocal tariffs announcement
Gold price (XAU/USD) stabilizes above $3,120 at the time of writing on Wednesday with still the fresh all-time nearby, at $3,149. The Gold rush rally stalled ahead of United States (US) President Donald Trump officially announcing the reciprocal tariff
Gold
Commodities
UnitedStates
TradeWar
XAUUSD
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