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BoJ's Ueda: Will make policy decisions after looking at US policy impacts
Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda noted on Thursday that US policy uncertainty is impacting how central banks are doing their jobs, and highlighted that the BoJ will be watching data closely in the runup to possible widespread tariffs.
USDJPY
BOJ
TradeWar
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KC Fed manufacturing index -5 vs -9 prior
Small improvement in the KC Fed
Fed
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US President Donald Trump reiterates March 4 tariffs, still seeking Ukraine deal
United States (US) President Donald Trump hit social media on Thursday, taking to the streets of X (nee Twitter) to inform global markets that his planned 25% tariff package aimed at Mexico and Canada will now be coming into effect on March 4, rather than the April 2 date he reaffirmed just hours earlier.
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UnitedStates
TradeWar
Canada
Mexico
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Mexican Peso tumbles as Trump confirms Mexico tariffs for March
The Mexican Peso (MXN) depreciated against the US Dollar (USD) after United States (US) President Donald Trump revealed that delayed tariffs to be enacted in February would kick in on March 4 for Mexico and Canada.
Mexico
USDMXN
Macroeconomics
TradeWar
SEO
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US January pending home sales -4.6% vs -1.3% expected
US pending home sales data for Jan 2025
USD
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White House confirms additional 10% on China for a 20% total
That's 10% on top of the 10%
China
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Fed's Schmid: Uncertainty might also weigh on growth
Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid said on Thursday that recent surveys indicating a rise in consumer inflation expectations showed the central bank must stay focused on fully containing price pressures, noting it was a growing and potentially troubling concern for policymakers.
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Currencies
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GBP: Focus on PM Starmer visit to Washington – Scotiabank
Pound Sterling (GBP) is trading marginally higher against the USD on the session but Cable remains well below yesterday’s intraday high and the lack of new factors driving UK markets this morning suggests limited scope for gains to extend, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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Technical Analysis
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EUR/USD: Gains are capped in low 1.05s – Scotiabank
The EUR remains largely range-bound in rather featureless trade.Spanish core CPI fell to 2.1% in February, the lowest since December 2021, hinting at some potential progress in Eurozone inflation, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
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Trump pledges an additional 10% tariff next week. Says Canada/Mexico tariffs still on
Trump tries to clear up the confusion
Politics
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CAD steady but fails to gain significantly – Scotiabank
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed against the stronger US Dollar (USD) on the session so far.
USDCAD
Technical Analysis
Banks
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US GDP expands by 2.3% in Q4 as initially estimated
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported on Thursday that the United States' Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded at an annual rate of 2.3% in the fourth quarter.
GDP
UnitedStates
EconomicIndicator
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USD posts limited gains amid tariff uncertainty – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (USD) is broadly firmer this morning but gains versus the majors are limited for the most part, leaving the currencies holding established trading ranges.
DollarIndex
Technical Analysis
Banks
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US: Initial Jobless Claims rose to 242K last week
US citizens filing new applications for unemployment insurance increased to 242K for the week ending February 22, as reported by the US Department of Labor (DoL) on Thursday.
Employment
UnitedStates
EconomicIndicator
DollarIndex
EURUSD
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US Durable Goods Orders rise 3.1% in January vs. 2% expected
Durable Goods Orders in the US rose by 3.1%, or $8.7 billion, in January to $286 billion, the US Census Bureau reported on Thursday.
UnitedStates
EconomicIndicator
Macroeconomics
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GBP/JPY jumps to near 189.60 ahead of Trump-Starmer meet in Washington
The GBP/JPY pair advances to near 189.60 in North American trading hours on Thursday.
GBPJPY
BOJ
BOE
ForeignTrade
InterestRate
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US initial jobless claims 242K versus 221K estimate
Weekly US initial and continuing claims
USD
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US Q4 GDP second reading +2.3% vs +2.3% expected
The second look at fourth quarter 2024 GDP
USD
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US January durable goods orders +3.1% vs +2.0% expected
January US advance durable goods orders data
USD
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WH Adviser Hassett: There's a study coming out on tariffs on April 1st
Comments from White House Senior Adviser Kevin Hassett
USD
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Tariff Confusion Leaves Markets Guessing
If tariffs are imposed → Expect a possible sharp Mexican Peso selloff, pushing USD/MXN higher
USD
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Outlook remained heavily dependent on the evolution of services inflation - ECB accounts
The ECB releases the accounts of its latest monetary policy meeting in January 2025
EUR
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US Dollar Index pops after US GDP reading reveals inflationary forces still at work
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is breaking above 107.00 for the first time in five trading days, after some important US data releases which are putting inflation concerns
DollarIndex
Macroeconomics
UnitedStates
SEO
TradeWar
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ForexLive European FX news wrap: Dollar steady as yields bounce, US futures tick higher
Forex news from the European morning session on Feb 27, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe
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USD/CAD flattens while Trump postpones tariff plans for Canada and Mexico again
The USD/CAD pair trades flat around 1.4335 in European trading hours on Thursday.
USDCAD
Fed
Inflation
TradeWar
GDP
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US copper surges on tariff risks – ING
COMEX copper futures surged after President Donald Trump ordered the US Commerce Department to investigate possible import tariffs on copper, ING’s commodity analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey notes.
Metals
Banks
Copper
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EUR/CHF: Potential support is located at 0.9250/0.9210 – Societe Generale
EUR/CHF has retracted after facing strong resistance at last September high of 0.9510, Societe Generale's FX analysts report.
EURCHF
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Banks
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Gas: TTF sell-off continues – ING
European natural gas prices came under additional pressure yesterday.
Gas
Energy
Banks
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USD/CNH: Price movements are likely part of a range trading phase – UOB Group
Current US Dollar (USD) price movements are likely part of a range trading phase vs Chinese Yuan (CNH), probably between 7.2530 and 7.2750.
USDCNY
USDCNH
Banks
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CAD: The resurgent Liberals – ING
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) remains quite soft given the threat of tariffs, ING’s FX analysts Chris Turner notes.
USDCAD
Technical Analysis
Banks
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JPY: Far enough for the time being – ING
The drop in US Treasury yields has certainly weighed on USD/JPY.
USDJPY
Technical Analysis
Banks
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USD/JPY: Weakness has not stabilised – UOB Group
Price movements are likely part of a range trading phase, probably between 148.55 and 149.75.
USDJPY
Technical Analysis
Banks
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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD remains below $32 as US yields rebounds ahead of US PCE Inflation
Silver price (XAG/USD) continues to face selling pressure around $32.00.
Silver
Fed
YieldCurve
TradeWar
Inflation
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USD: Tariff threats have diminishing market impact – ING
FX volatility levels are drifting toward the lower end of two-month ranges as major FX pairs consolidate.
DollarIndex
Technical Analysis
Banks
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NZD/USD: Has a chance to decline further – UOB Group
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) could decline further vs US Dollar (USD), but it does seem to have enough momentum to break and remain below 0.5680.
NZDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
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EUR/USD tumbles as Trump threatens to impose reciprocal tariffs on April 2
EUR/USD slumps to near 1.0420 in North American trading hours on Thursday.
EURUSD
ECB
Fed
TradeWar
SEO
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Eurozone February final consumer confidence -13.6 vs -13.6 prelim
Latest data released by the European Commission - 27 February 2025
EUR
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Gold tanks over 1% on Thursday after President Trump clouds tariff planning
Gold’s price (XAU/USD) ekes out more losses and faces already more than 1% loss ahead of the American trading session on Thursday. The leg lower came after United States (US) President Donald Trump casted doubts and confusion during a cabinet
Gold
Commodities
UnitedStates
SEO
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Weekly update on interest rate expectations
What are the market expectations for interest rates for G8FX
market overview
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Oil: Uncertainty over the outlook for tariffs – ING
Oil prices continued to trend lower yesterday amid uncertainty over the outlook for tariffs, a dynamic overshadowing sanction risks.
Oil
Energy
Banks
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