Breaking: Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD breaks through $3,450, fresh record highs
- Gold price breaks to a new record high above $3,450 in Asian trading on Tuesday.
- No confidence in the US Dollar and Trump’s attacks on Powell keep haven demand intact for Gold price.
- RSI stays heavily overbought on the daily chart as Gold remains ‘buy-the-dip’ trades.
Gold price continues to build on its record rally, hitting another all-time high above $3,450 in Asian trading on Tuesday. Investors continue to flock to safety in the traditional store of value, the Gold price, amidst heightened risks of a US recession and financial market instability.
These factors continue to show a lack of confidence in the US Dollar (USD), fuelling the demand for the USD-denominated Gold price.
US President Donald Trump continued to berate Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell, raising concerns over the Fed’s independence. This comes after the Trump administration reportedly studied whether they could remove the Fed Chief.
Additionally, the US-China trade war escalation and its negative impact on the US economy and inflation remain a tailwind for the Gold price.
Looking ahead, Gold price will likely remain the go-to asset amid heightened financial market uncertainty and Trump’s constant attacks on Fed Chair Powell. Additionally, a lack of top-tier US economic data will leave Gold price at the mercy of risk sentiment and tariff headlines.
Gold FAQs
Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.
Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.
Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.
The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.