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Weekly update on interest rate expectations
Weekly update on interest rate expectations
What are the market expectations for interest rates for G8FX
market overview
More downside risks than upside risks for CAD and MXN – ING
More downside risks than upside risks for CAD and MXN – ING
CAD and MXN depreciated at the back end of last week, but are still not pricing 25% tariffs as the baseline, ING’s FX analysts Francesco Pesole notes.
USDCAD
USDMXN
Banks
TradeWar
GBP/USD: Two-week GBP strength has ended – UOB Group
GBP/USD: Two-week GBP strength has ended – UOB Group
Pound Sterling (GBP) is expected to trade in a range between 1.2570 and 1.2630.
GBPUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
EUR/USD strengthens on Ukraine peace plan, increase in Fed dovish bets for June meeting
EUR/USD strengthens on Ukraine peace plan, increase in Fed dovish bets for June meeting
EUR/USD surges to near 1.0485 Monday's North American session after bouncing back strongly from an over two-week low of 1.0360 posted on Friday.
EURUSD
ECB
Fed
Ukraine
SEO
USD: Highly binary outcomes from tariff event – ING
USD: Highly binary outcomes from tariff event – ING
US-Ukraine talks fell through on Friday after a heated exchange in the Oval Office between US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
DollarIndex
Technical Analysis
Banks
EUR/USD can continue to decline – UOB Group
EUR/USD can continue to decline – UOB Group
Euro (EUR) is likely to trade in a range between 1.0375 and 1.0435 vs US Dollar (USD).
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
Dollar stays on the backfoot to kick start the week
Dollar stays on the backfoot to kick start the week
The greenback is down as we await Trump's plans on tariffs in the next 24 hours
GBP: Bailey's testimony in focus this week – ING
GBP: Bailey's testimony in focus this week – ING
The UK data calendar is quiet this week, and the Pound Sterling (GBP) will primarily be driven by external input.
GBPUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
Eurozone Preliminary HICP inflation eases to 2.4% YoY in February vs. 2.3% expected
Eurozone Preliminary HICP inflation eases to 2.4% YoY in February vs. 2.3% expected
The Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) rose 2.4% year-on-year (YoY) in February after recording a 2.5% growth in January, the official data released by Eurostat showed Monday.
Inflation
Eurozone
EconomicIndicator
EURUSD
Eurozone February preliminary CPI +2.4% vs +2.3% y/y expected
Eurozone February preliminary CPI +2.4% vs +2.3% y/y expected
Latest data released by Eurostat - 3 March 2025
China: Post-holiday rebound in PMIs provided little relief as more tariff looms – UOB Group
China: Post-holiday rebound in PMIs provided little relief as more tariff looms – UOB Group
Both China’s official manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs picked up in Feb as activities normalized after the Lunar New Year holiday (28 January – 4 February).
China
PMI
Inflation
PBOC
Banks
EUR: Inflation to favour dovish ECB stance – ING
EUR: Inflation to favour dovish ECB stance – ING
The euro’s outlook remains tied to developments on US tariffs and on Ukraine peace talks, ING’s FX analysts Francesco Pesole notes.
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
EUR/USD: 2-way trades on the cards – OCBC
EUR/USD: 2-way trades on the cards – OCBC
Euro (EUR) found support as European leaders were seen coming together to offer Ukraine support.
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data
Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Monday, according to FXStreet data.
Silver
Commodities
Metals
UK January mortgage approvals 66.19k vs 65.65k expected
UK January mortgage approvals 66.19k vs 65.65k expected
Latest data released by the BOE - 3 March 2025
UK February final manufacturing PMI 46.9 vs 46.4 prelim
UK February final manufacturing PMI 46.9 vs 46.4 prelim
Final data released by S&P Global - 3 March 2025
Gold back in trader's graces with tariffs set to kick in
Gold back in trader's graces with tariffs set to kick in
Gold’s price (XAU/USD) is set to revisit the high in the Asian session near $2,876 at the time of writing after a steady positive Monday thus far. Tariffs are still set to hit on Tuesday for Mexico and Canada and additional tariffs on China, they are not really
Gold
Commodities
UnitedStates
SEO
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Tests 0.5600 support near lower descending channel limit
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Tests 0.5600 support near lower descending channel limit
The NZD/USD pair holds ground after registering a six-day losing streak, trading around 0.5600 during European trading hours on Monday.
NZDUSD
Technical Analysis
Majors
Breaking: US ISM Manufacturing PMI surprised to the downside in February
Breaking: US ISM Manufacturing PMI surprised to the downside in February
Anticipation is mounting as the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) gears up to unveil the February United States (US) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) this Monday.
Manufacturing
UnitedStates
EconomicIndicator
SEO
Breaking
Germany February final manufacturing PMI 46.5 vs 46.1 prelim
Germany February final manufacturing PMI 46.5 vs 46.1 prelim
Final reading released by HCOB - 3 March 2025
Italy February manufacturing PMI 47.4 vs 46.8 expected
Italy February manufacturing PMI 47.4 vs 46.8 expected
Latest data released by HCOB - 3 March 2025
AUD/JPY falls toward 93.00 due to hawkish sentiment surrounding the BoJ’s policy outlook
AUD/JPY falls toward 93.00 due to hawkish sentiment surrounding the BoJ’s policy outlook
AUD/JPY depreciates to near 93.00 during European hours on Monday.
AUDJPY
Crosses
Macroeconomics
Australia
Japan
Switzerland February manufacturing PMI 49.6 vs 48.0 expected
Switzerland February manufacturing PMI 49.6 vs 48.0 expected
Latest data released by Procure - 3 March 2025
Pound Sterling rallies against US Dollar on Ukraine peace plan
Pound Sterling rallies against US Dollar on Ukraine peace plan
The Pound Sterling (GBP) gains ground against the US Dollar (USD) after a two-day correction and rebounds strongly to near 1.2700 in North American trading hours on Monday.
GBPUSD
Fed
BOE
RiskAppetite
SEO
Spain February manufacturing PMI 49.7 vs 51.4 expected
Spain February manufacturing PMI 49.7 vs 51.4 expected
Latest data released by HCOB - 3 March 2025
European equities open higher to start the new week, month
European equities open higher to start the new week, month
A slight catch up to the late gains from Wall Street on Friday last week
Stocks
Japan’s Top FX Diplomat Mimura: Small and medium firms have strong prospects of wage hikes
Japan’s Top FX Diplomat Mimura: Small and medium firms have strong prospects of wage hikes
Atsushi Mimura, Japan’s Vice Finance Minister For International Affairs and top foreign exchange official, said on Monday, “It's not only big firms, also hearing small and medium firms have strong prospects of wage hikes.” Additional quotes Real private consumption in Japan is still below pre-Covid levels.
Japan
USDJPY
Currencies
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Pulls back from 1.4450, upside appears as bullish bias strengthens
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Pulls back from 1.4450, upside appears as bullish bias strengthens
USD/CAD snaps its six-day winning streak, hovering around 1.4440 during Friday’s Asian session.
USDCAD
Technical Analysis
Majors
Bullish
What are the main events for today?
What are the main events for today?
The Eurozone Flash CPI and the US ISM Manufacturing PMI are the main highlights
market overview
Forex Today: US Dollar retreats to start week, focus remains on geopolitics
Forex Today: US Dollar retreats to start week, focus remains on geopolitics
Here is what you need to know on Monday, March 3: The US Dollar (USD) struggles to find demand at the beginning of the week as investors continue to assess the latest geopolitical developments.
Majors
Currencies
Macroeconomics
EconomicIndicator
Commodities
Eurostoxx futures +0.5% in early European trading
Eurostoxx futures +0.5% in early European trading
A catch up to the late gains in Wall Street at the end on Friday
Stocks
FX option expiries for Mar 3 NY cut
FX option expiries for Mar 3 NY cut
FX option expiries for Mar 3 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time via DTCC can be found below.
Options
Currencies
A new week and new month but same old episode of drama
A new week and new month but same old episode of drama
Trump set to steal the headlines again as we kick start March trading
market overview
US Dollar Price Forecast: Initial support level emerges below 107.00
US Dollar Price Forecast: Initial support level emerges below 107.00
The US Dollar Index (DXY) faces some selling pressure to near 107.25, snapping the three-day winning streak during the early European session on Monday.
DollarIndex
Technical Analysis
USD/CHF trades with mild losses below 0.9050 as traders brace for US PMI release
USD/CHF trades with mild losses below 0.9050 as traders brace for US PMI release
The USD/CHF pair trades with mild losses near 0.9020 during the early European session on Tuesday.
USDCHF
Majors
Macroeconomics
EUR/GBP remains above 0.8250 as France, UK propose a one-month Ukraine truce
EUR/GBP remains above 0.8250 as France, UK propose a one-month Ukraine truce
EUR/GBP pauses its three-day losing streak, hovering around 0.8260 during Monday’s Asian session.
EURGBP
Crosses
Macroeconomics
Majors