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GBP/USD hits 6-month high above 1.3200 as markets shun USD amid tariff turmoil
The Pound Sterling (GBP) rose and refreshed six-month highs against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday as the financial markets' narrative remains linked to the US imposing tariffs. Cable shrugged off soft United Kingdom (UK) jobs data; hence, GBP/USD rallied 0.36% and is trading at 1.3233.
Technical Analysis
Currencies
Majors
GBPUSD
Fundamental Analysis

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Pair dips near range lows but maintains bullish momentum
The EUR/USD pair eased slightly on Tuesday’s session after the European close, slipping from earlier intraday highs and hovering near the lower end of its daily range. Price action trades around the 1.13 zone, mildly lower on the day, though the broader technical bias continues to favor buyers.

EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Pair dips near range low despite bullish backdrop
EUR/GBP edged lower on Tuesday after the European session, retreating toward the bottom of its intraday range while holding just above key technical levels. The pair was last seen near the 0.8500 area, down modestly on the day, yet broader signals still point to underlying bullish strength.


Deutsche Bank downgrades US 2025 GDP forecast to +0.9%
Deutsche Bank also boosts inflation forecast
USD

EU expects bulk of US tariffs to remain in place – Bloomberg
The European Union (EU) expects a bulk of the United States (US) import tariffs to remain in place after little progress was made in the latest talks, Bloomberg reported on Tuesday.
EURUSD
Europe
UnitedStates
Politics


US Dollar rebounds while investors still concerned over erratic tariff headlines
The US Dollar (USD) gains temporary ground after stabilizing near its recent lows, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) rebounding from its three-year low of 99.00 to 100.00 during North American trading hours on Tuesday.
China
TradeWar
Fed
UnitedStates
DollarIndex


Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds onto gains above $3,200 on Trump’s tariff uncertainty
Gold price (XAU/USD) clings to gains near all-time highs (ATH) around $3,245 during North American trading hours on Tuesday.
XAUUSD
TradeWar
Fed
UnitedStates
Gold


Canadian housing starts slowed further in March
Starts at 214.2K fell well short of 242.5K expected
CAD


CAD little changed on the day – Scotiabank
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is all but unchanged in quiet trade on Tuesday, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Technical Analysis
Canada
BOC
USDCAD
Banks

USD consolidation extends as risk appetite improves – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (USD) continues to consolidate in calmer ranges.
Technical Analysis
Fed
Banks
DollarIndex

JPY consolidates multi-month, haven-driven rally – Scotiabank
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is trading in a narrow range and slightly underperforming its G10 peers as recent haven-driven momentum fades.
Technical Analysis
BOJ
Japan
USDJPY
Banks

USD/CAD climbs to near 1.3900 as Canadian inflation cools down
The USD/CAD pair jumped to near 1.3900 during North American trading hours on Tuesday as Statistics Canada reported that inflationary pressures cooled down in March.
China
BOC
USDCAD
UnitedStates
Inflation

GBP pushes to fresh highs – Scotiabank
Pound Sterling (GBP) is performing well on the day with a 0.4% gain vs. the US Dollar (USD) and outperformance against most of the G10 currencies as it pushed to fresh highs at levels last seen in October, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Technical Analysis
Banks
GBPUSD

EUR quiet on mixed ZEW data ahead of ECB Thursday – Scotiabank
Euro (EUR) is quietly consolidating within a relatively tight range around 1.1350, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Banks



Empire manufacturing index for April -8.10 versus -14.50 estimate
Empire manufacturing index for April 2025
Fed
USD


Forexlive European FX news wrap: Markets await new info on trade negotiations
Forex news from the European morning session on Apr 15, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe

OPEC lowers its demand forecast only slightly – Commerzbank
OPEC revised its forecast for global oil demand slightly downwards in its monthly report published yesterday due to the expected impact of US tariffs. It now expects an increase of 1.3 million barrels per day for both this year and next.
Oil
OPEC
Energy
Banks

China's Premiur Li: Currently, external situations have drastically changed
Chinese State Media reporting comments from China's Premier Li
market overview

China imported significantly more crude oil in March – Commerzbank
China's crude oil imports rose to 12.1 million barrels per day in March, according to data from the customs authority, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
Oil
Energy
Commodities
Banks

Brent forward curve flattened significantly over the first 12 months – Commerzbank
In the wake of the sharp fall in oil prices, the time spreads, i.e. the price differentials along the forward curves, also narrowed significantly last week, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
Oil
Energy
Brent
Banks

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Revisits monthly high around 0.6390
The AUD/USD pair extends its winnings streak for the fifth trading day on Tuesday and revisits the monthly high of 0.6380.
AUDUSD
China
TradeWar
UnitedStates
DollarIndex

GBP/USD rebounds sharply, eyes channel top – Société Générale
GBP/USD has bounced strongly from the 50-day moving average, clearing a key pivot and approaching the top of its multi-month channel.
Technical Analysis
Banks
GBPUSD

Gold continues to enjoy a tailwind – Commerzbank
The exemption of some electronics products from the reciprocal US tariffs has provided some relief on the stock market, although expectations were quickly dampened again by the threat that the products would soon be subject to sectoral tariffs, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Thu Lan Nguyen notes.
Banks
Gold
XAUUSD
Metals
Commodities

USD/CNH: Unlikely to break above 7.3350 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) could edge higher vs Chinese Yuan (CNH), but any advance is unlikely to break above 7.3350. In the longer run, sharp but short-lived price action has resulted in a mixed outlook; USD is likely to trade between 7.2430 and 7.3700 for now.
Technical Analysis
USDCNH
Banks

HUF: S&P’s downgrades exerts additional pressure – Commerzbank
Last week after business hours on Friday, Standard & Poor’s issued a downgrade of outlook on Hungary’s sovereign debt from stable to negative. S&P already rates the issuer at 'BBB-/A-3', the lowest within investment grade, which highlights the significance of a negative outlook from here.
Hungary
Banks
EURHUF
SP500

What are the interest rates expectations for G8FX?
Not much change since yesterday as markets consolidate awaiting new information on the tariffs front
market overview

USD/JPY: Likely to trade in a 142.70/144.55 range – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a 142.70/144.55 range vs Japanese Yen (JPY). In the longer run, USD could continue to decline, but given the deeply oversold conditions, it remains to be seen if 139.55 is within reach, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY
Banks

Norges Bank likely to delay cuts until June – Commerzbank
Although the Norwegian inflation figures for March look a little better again after the significant upward surprise at the beginning of the year, Norges Bank is still likely to wait until June before lowering the key rate, Commerzbank's FX analyst Antje Praefcke notes.
EURNOK
Norway
Banks
USDNOK

GBP/JPY trades higher to near 189.00 on upbeat UK employment data
The GBP/JPY pair rises to near 189.00 in Tuesday’s European session. The pair moves higher as the Pound Sterling (GBP) strengthens after the release of the upbeat United Kingdom (UK) employment data for three months ending February.
GBPJPY
Employment
UnitedStates
Japan
Inflation

China’s Copper imports drop – ING
China’s preliminary trade data for metals, released yesterday, showed imports of unwrought Copper fell 1.4% YoY to 467kt in March, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
Metals
China
Copper
Commodities
Banks