EURUSD breaks lower but bounces off the 200 hour MA.... again

The EURUSD moved sharply lower today following headline-driven USD strength, breaking below key technical levels. The initial push took the pair under the 100-hour moving average and the 38.2% retracement of the move up from the March 27 low, both coming in near 1.0987. This break shifted short-term bias more negative and opened the door to further selling pressure.

The decline extended through the 50% retracement and a key swing area near 1.0938, signaling a potential trend shift. However, buyers once again stepped in near the 200-hour moving average at 1.09146, which also acted as support yesterday alongside the 61.8% retracement level. The market respected that level again today, leading to a rebound.

Now, the EURUSD is trapped between two key technical zones—with the 100-hour MA serving as resistance above and the 200-hour MA acting as support below. Traders will be watching for the next directional push to resolve this battle. A break above the 100-hour MA would shift bias back toward the upside, while a move below the 200-hour MA would reassert bearish control.