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Fed's Barkin: Tariff price hikes could start in June
Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Richmond President Tom Barkin pummeled market hopes for rate cuts on Wednesday, noting that the Fed is broadly anticipating negative effects from both ends of the US's self-styled trade war.
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US House will take key budget votes later today
The budget includes provisions that prevent any challenges to Trump tariffs through Sept 30
Politics
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Fed's Musalem: It is risky to assume the Fed can look through higher prices from tariffs
Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem noted on Wednesday that tariffs will make it increasingly difficult for the Fed to make short-term changes to policy rates.
TradeWar
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CentralBanks
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European stock markets slump as Trump tariffs take effect
No pause in tariffs
Stocks
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Mexican Peso plunges, hits 9-week low amid escalation of US-China trade war
The Mexican Peso (MXN) extended its losses against the US Dollar (USD) as US-China tensions escalated after the US imposed further tariffs on Chinese imports, while the latter retaliated reciprocally. Volatility remains high and usually undermines risk appetite, sending the Peso lower.
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South African rand falls to all-time low
Big moves in the rand this month
ZAR
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EIA weekly crude oil inventories +2553K vs +1421K expected
Weekly US petroleum data
USD
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AUD/USD soars to near 0.6050 amid significant weakness in US Dollar
The US-China trade war could send shockwaves through the Australian economy.
Recession
China
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US February wholesale sales +2.4% vs -1.3% prior
February wholesale sales and inventories
USD
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Trump says to "be cool" as everything is going to work out well
Message from Trump on Truth Social
Politics
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GBP recovers recent losses – Scotiabank
Pound Sterling (GBP) is up a modest 0.5% vs. the US Dollar (USD) and retracing a portion of its recent losses, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes on Wednesday.
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EUR cheers German political developments – Scotiabank
The Euro (EUR) is up an impressive 0.8% vs. the US Dollar (USD) and outperforming most of the G10 currencies with the exception of AUD and CHF, recovering its recent losses and pushing back toward last week’s highs, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Banks
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The blow up in the basis trade and swaps is a five-alarm fire
Comments from the Treasury Secretary
Bonds
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Breaking: FOMC Minutes suggest high inflation could be more persistent
The Minutes revealed that Federal Reserve policymakers almost unanimously agreed that the U.S. economy was at risk of experiencing both higher inflation and slower growth. They noted that “difficult tradeoffs” could lie ahead for the central bank.
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Fed’s Kashkari: No monetary policy response should be off the table
Neel Kashkari, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, warned on Wednesday that last week’s wide-ranging tariffs could unsettle people’s expectations about inflation.
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German coalition outlines policy agreements
Policy document from the new German coalition
Politics
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CAD holds range despite headwinds from risk, commodities – Scotiabank
Canada’s 25% counter tariffs on non-USMCA compliant vehicles came into force just after midnight, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Technical Analysis
Canada
BOC
USDCAD
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USD: US markets wilt under tariff pressure – Scotiabank
Yesterday’s hopes for some moderation in US tariff policy met the reality of 104% tariffs on China and President Trump’s other levies being imposed as of midnight last night, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Technical Analysis
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Bessent: Tariff levels are a ceiling if other countries don't retaliate
Comments from the Treasury Secretary
Politics
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Why gold is a good place to hide after a crisis
What does history say about gold's performance after an economic shock
Gold
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The stupidest episode in American economic history continues
Eyes on bonds
USD
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Jamie Dimon: Stickly inflation will not go away quickly
Comments from the JPMorgan CEO
Politics
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ForexLive European FX news wrap: Market mayhem continues as China retaliates on tariffs
Forex news from the European morning session on Apr 9, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe
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Fed's Daly: We have time and space to deliberate next moves
Comments from Fed's Daly
USD
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US Treasury Sec. Bessent: US has a strong Dollar policy
In an interview with Fox Business Network on Wednesday, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said China's decision to raise tariffs on US imports to 84% is "unfortunate," per Reuters.
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Trump: This is a great time for firms to move to the US
Trump is up and about on the day
USD
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China should not try to devalue their way out of this - Bessent
Further remarks by Bessent
USD
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EUR/USD edges higher amid flat momentum – OCBC
Euro (EUR) ticked higher vs US Dollar (USD) and was last seen at 1.1044 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
TradeWar
Banks
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China can raise their tariffs but so what? - Bessent
US Treasury secretary, Scott Bessent, speaks to Fox Business
USD
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ECB's Holzmann: Eurozone recession unlikely but growth may be weaker
Remarks by ECB policymaker, Robert Holzmann
EUR
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EUR/CHF falls to key technical juncture as US-China trade war rages on
The SNB won't be too happy when looking at this
CHF
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USD/JPY: Short squeeze soon? – OCBC
USD/JPY dipped this morning. Safe-haven demand was the main catalyst while UST-JGB yield differentials also narrowed. Pair was last at 144.74 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY
Banks
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USD/CAD tumbles below 1.4200 as US Dollar dives amid US recession fears
The USD/CAD pair falls sharply to near 1.4180 during European trading hours on Wednesday. The Loonie pair faces an intense sell-off as the US Dollar (USD) takes bullet for United States (US) President Donald Trump raising import duty on China to 104%.
Canada
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USDCAD
UnitedStates
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China premier Li: We are prepared to deal with uncertainties
Remarks by China premier, Li Qiang, via state media
CNY
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Oil continues to crater in the wake of a US-China trade war
WTI crude dips to $56, its lowest since February 2021
Oil
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US Dollar drops while President Trump says markets to be cool
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, extends the previous day’s correction and hovers around 102.00 at the time of writing on Wednesday.
TradeWar
UnitedStates
SEO
Macroeconomics
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Brent falls below key 2024 support – Societe Generale
Brent crude has extended its decline after breaching key support levels from earlier in 2024. While momentum indicators suggest the move is stretched, signs of a significant rebound remain elusive, Societe Generale's FX analysts report.
Oil
Brent
Banks
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Euro shows unexpected safe haven strength – Rabobank
Following President Trump's tariff announcement, the euro has shown surprising resilience, acting more like a safe haven currency alongside the Swiss franc and Japanese yen.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Banks
Fundamental Analysis
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Breaking: China announces additional 84% tariffs on US goods from April 10
China's Finance Ministry said on Wednesday that they will impose additional 84% tariffs on US imports from April 10, per Reuters, up from the 34% previously announced.
Breaking
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